Pre-tourney Rankings
Weber St.
Big Sky
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#146
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#131
Pace67.0#255
Improvement-1.7#259

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#191
First Shot+1.2#138
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#305
Layup/Dunks-1.7#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#84
Freethrows+1.0#112
Improvement-3.4#314

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#121
First Shot+3.2#78
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#298
Layups/Dunks+0.5#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#27
Freethrows+2.2#53
Improvement+1.7#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round4.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 133   Utah St. L 70-73 57%     0 - 1 -3.7 -3.8 +0.0
  Nov 16, 2015 95   @ South Dakota St. L 68-85 23%     0 - 2 -8.3 -2.4 -5.6
  Nov 23, 2015 157   Central Michigan W 63-60 52%     1 - 2 +3.5 -5.0 +8.9
  Nov 24, 2015 254   Drake W 74-58 74%     2 - 2 +10.5 +4.3 +8.0
  Nov 25, 2015 174   Murray St. W 75-59 57%     3 - 2 +15.3 +7.3 +9.5
  Dec 05, 2015 50   BYU L 68-73 19%     3 - 3 +5.3 +2.9 +2.2
  Dec 09, 2015 282   @ Utah Valley L 81-84 2OT 72%     3 - 4 -8.0 -16.6 +9.4
  Dec 13, 2015 191   @ Denver L 68-69 50%     3 - 5 +0.0 +3.7 -3.8
  Dec 18, 2015 203   Portland W 92-82 OT 64%     4 - 5 +7.2 -0.6 +6.0
  Dec 22, 2015 95   South Dakota St. W 99-95 43%     5 - 5 +6.9 +13.5 -7.1
  Jan 02, 2016 276   Idaho St. W 77-56 85%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +10.7 -3.8 +13.6
  Jan 07, 2016 200   North Dakota W 74-62 73%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +6.7 -1.0 +7.4
  Jan 09, 2016 310   Northern Colorado W 85-68 90%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +4.1 +3.3 +0.9
  Jan 14, 2016 259   @ Portland St. W 73-58 66%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +11.8 -0.3 +12.6
  Jan 16, 2016 278   @ Sacramento St. W 85-74 71%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +6.4 +7.1 -1.2
  Jan 23, 2016 276   @ Idaho St. L 68-69 70%     10 - 6 5 - 1 -5.5 -4.8 -0.7
  Jan 28, 2016 345   Northern Arizona W 76-66 95%     11 - 6 6 - 1 -7.8 -4.1 -3.6
  Jan 30, 2016 342   Southern Utah W 77-50 95%     12 - 6 7 - 1 +9.7 -1.3 +12.9
  Feb 04, 2016 310   @ Northern Colorado W 64-54 78%     13 - 6 8 - 1 +2.9 -12.3 +15.7
  Feb 06, 2016 200   @ North Dakota L 71-78 52%     13 - 7 8 - 2 -6.5 +5.2 -12.2
  Feb 11, 2016 278   Sacramento St. W 63-50 86%     14 - 7 9 - 2 +2.5 -13.5 +16.1
  Feb 13, 2016 259   Portland St. W 87-78 83%     15 - 7 10 - 2 +0.0 +6.2 -6.5
  Feb 18, 2016 342   @ Southern Utah W 87-83 88%     16 - 7 11 - 2 -7.5 +3.0 -10.6
  Feb 20, 2016 345   @ Northern Arizona W 77-74 88%     17 - 7 12 - 2 -9.0 -3.9 -5.2
  Feb 25, 2016 252   Montana St. W 68-60 81%     18 - 7 13 - 2 -0.4 -12.0 +11.7
  Feb 27, 2016 153   Montana W 60-54 62%     19 - 7 14 - 2 +3.9 -12.2 +16.3
  Mar 03, 2016 217   @ Idaho L 58-62 56%     19 - 8 14 - 3 -4.5 -11.8 +7.2
  Mar 05, 2016 205   @ Eastern Washington W 79-77 54%     20 - 8 15 - 3 +2.1 +1.1 +1.0
  Mar 10, 2016 259   Portland St. W 78-74 75%     21 - 8 -2.1 -2.1 -0.1
  Mar 11, 2016 200   North Dakota W 83-78 OT 63%     22 - 8 +2.6 +2.8 -0.8
  Mar 12, 2016 153   Montana W 62-59 51%     23 - 8 +3.8 -3.1 +7.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.9 0.1 14.3 85.6 0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 14.3 85.6 0.0